Tuesday, February 01, 2005

US global dominance to end?

A CIA report predicts that American global dominance could end in 15 years.
By Fred Kaplan

Posted Wednesday, Jan. 26, 2005, at 2:48 PM PT
Full text

"... Who will be the first politician brave enough to declare publicly that the United States is a declining power and that America's leaders must urgently discuss what to do about it? This prognosis of decline comes not (or not only) from leftist scribes
rooting for imperialism's downfall, but from the National Intelligence Council the "center of strategic thinking" inside the U.S.intelligence community.

The NIC's conclusions are starkly presented in a new 119-page document, "Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project."

In this new world, a mere 15 years away, the United States will remain "an important shaper of the international order"probably the single most powerful country but its "relative power position" will have "eroded." The new "arriviste powers"not only China and India,
but also Brazil, Indonesia, and perhaps others will accelerate this erosion by pursuing "strategies designed to exclude or isolate the United States" in order to "force or cajole" us into playing by their rules.

America's current foreign policy is encouraging this trend, the NIC


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